TY - JOUR AU - Aspinall, W. P. AU - Scarrow, Jane Hannah AU - CoMMinS Project PY - 2021 UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10481/71019 AB - Drawing on risk methods from volcano crises, we developed a rapid COVID-19 infection model for the partial return of pupils to primary schools in England in June and July 2020, and a full return in September 2020. The model handles uncertainties... LA - eng PB - Royal Society KW - England primary school COVID-19 risks KW - Schools opening KW - Stochastic uncertainty analysis KW - Bayesian belief network KW - Scenario sensitivity tests TI - Pupils returning to primary schools in England during 2020: rapid estimations of punctual COVID-19 infection rates DO - 10.1098/rsos.202218 ER -