Dropout in Andalusian universities: prediction and prevention

Abstract

Problem and objective: University dropout is a major problem that affects more than 31,000 students each year in Andalusian universities, with serious personal and social consequences and an economic cost of more than 222 million euros for the region’s public administration. As concluded from the review of explanatory models we reviewed, dropout has a multicausal origin. The purpose of our work is to test the efficacy of the use of a screening for the early detection of the risk of academic dropout in Higher Education in Andalusian universities. Procedure: We applied a screening instrument adapted for incoming students in public universities in Andalusia. The survey was applied at the beginning of the second semester. In this article we present data from a sample composed of 976 subjects from the universities of Granada UGR, Jaén UJA and Pablo de Olavide de Sevilla UPO. Results: With the data obtained we have established the dropout risk group, which includes those students who do not reach an average score of 3.00 in the total screening. There are 34 students representing 3.48% of the sample. Of these 34 students, 26 are women and 8 are men; 20 belong to the UGR, 8 to the UJA and 5 to the UPO. The detection of the risk group will allow the universities to apply preventive measures in a personalized and adjusted way to avoid possible dropout.