Accidents prediction model based on speed reduction on spanish two-lane rural highways

Identificadores
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10481/24453
ISSN: 1877-0428
ISSN: doi: 10.1016/j.sbspro.2012.09.950
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Auteur
Oña López, Juan José De; Garach, Laura
Editorial
Elsevier
Materia
Road safety
 
Speed reduction
 
Horizontal curves
 
Consistency
 
Two-lane rural highways
 
Poisson distribution
 
Spain
 
Date
2012-10-03
Referencia bibliográfica
de Oña, J.; Garach, L. Accidents prediction model based on speed reduction on spanish two-lane rural highways. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 53: 1011-1019 (2012). [http://hdl.handle.net/10481/24453]
Patrocinador
TRYSE Research Group, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Granada, Spain
Résumé
The speed reductions can affect to the safety of the road. The Interactive Highway Safety Design Model (IHSDM) Design Consistency Module presents an analysis of the relation between the speed reduction and the accidents for horizontal curves on American two-lane rural highways. In this paper a similar study is performed for Spanish two-lane rural highways. A model for predicting accidents through regression analysis is presented using speed reduction between successive tangents and horizontal curves and between successive curves. Significant parameters related to exposure and geometry as explanatory variables are used.
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