@misc{10481/95987, year = {2024}, month = {10}, url = {https://hdl.handle.net/10481/95987}, abstract = {The availability of many variables with predictive power makes their selection in a regression context difficult. This study considers robust and understandable low-dimensional estimators as building blocks to improve overall predictive power by optimally combining these building blocks. Our new algorithm is based on generalized cross-validation and builds a predictive model step-by-step from a simple mean to more complex predictive combinations. Empirical applications to annual financial returns and actuarial telematics data show its usefulness in the financial and insurance industries.}, organization = {inisterio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (PID2020- 116587GB-I00)}, organization = {Austrian National Bank (Jubiläumsfondsprojekt 18901)}, publisher = {Springer}, keywords = {Forecasting}, keywords = {Non-linear prediction}, keywords = {Stock returns}, title = {Robustifying and simplifying high‑dimensional regression with applications to yearly stock return and telematics data}, doi = {10.1186/s40854-024-00657-9}, author = {Marchese, Malvina and Martínez Miranda, María Dolores and Perch Nielsen, Jens and Scholz, Michael}, }