@misc{10481/71202,
year = {2021},
month = {9},
url = {http://hdl.handle.net/10481/71202},
abstract = {This article examines the future of unmanned combat aerial vehicles (UCAVs). As a foresight tool
it uses the Three Horizons framework, which helps understand the process of change underway at
present in combat aviation as a result of the advances in technology associated with the fourth
industrial revolution. According to this framework, the first horizon corresponds to manned
combat aviation, the strategic effectiveness of which is beginning to be called into question. The
second horizon comprises different strategic innovations currently in progress which can be
viewed as support for the first horizon but also as disruptive innovations that may bring about a
change in the dominant model. The article then explores a third hypothetical horizon in which
UCAVs take centre stage in combat missions and identifies potential drivers of this alternative and
disruptive future.},
organization = {Spanish Agencia Estatal de Investigacion	PID2019-108036GB-100/AEI/10.1339/501100011033},
organization = {Universidad de Granada/CBUA},
publisher = {Elsevier},
keywords = {Unmanned combat aerial vehicles},
keywords = {Military technology},
keywords = {Air power},
title = {The future of unmanned combat aerial vehicles: An analysis using the Three Horizons framework},
doi = {10.1016/j.futures.2021.102848},
author = {Jordán Enamorado, Javier Jesús},
}