@misc{10481/111999,
year = {2026},
month = {1},
url = {https://hdl.handle.net/10481/111999},
abstract = {Estimular el pensamiento probabilístico desde la infancia es esencial para la alfabetización probabilística de la ciudadanía. Sin embargo, existen escasas herramientas para medir su desarrollo en edades tempranas. Este estudio   propone   un   instrumento   para   evaluar   el   pensamiento probabilístico  en  la  infancia  (4-5  años),  considerando  fenómenos aleatorios, lenguaje probabilístico y probabilidad de un evento. Mediante un  enfoque  cualitativo,  se  construyeron  ítems,  se  realizaron  estudios piloto y un proceso de juicio de expertos, generando evidencias de validez sobre su pertinencia y funcionalidad. Los resultados aportan al diseño de herramientas  evaluativas  que  promuevan  el  aprendizaje  matemático temprano aprovechando las intuiciones probabilísticas infantiles.},
abstract = {Stimulating  probabilistic  thinking  from  childhood  is  essential  for  the probabilistic literacy of citizens. However, there are few tools to measure its development at early ages. This study proposes an instrument to assess probabilistic  thinking  in  children(4-5  years),  considering  random phenomena, probabilistic language and probability of an event. Using a qualitative  approach,  items  were  constructed,  pilot  studies  were conducted and a process of expert judgment was carried out, generating evidence of validity regarding its relevance and functionality. The results contribute  to  the  design  of  assessment  tools  that  promote  early mathematical  learning  by  taking  advantage  of  children's  probabilistic intuitions.},
publisher = {Universidad de Granada},
keywords = {Alfabetización  probabilística},
keywords = {Educación Infantil},
keywords = {Evaluación},
keywords = {Assessment},
keywords = {Early Childhood Education},
keywords = {Instrument},
title = {Evaluando el pensamiento probabilístico temprano en la infancia (4-5 años)},
doi = {10.30827/pna.v20i2.33404},
author = {Malaspina, Martín and Alsina, Ángel and Maurandi López, Antonio},
}