TY  - JOUR 
AU  - López-Abente, Gonzalo
AU  - García-Gómez, Montserrat
AU  - Menéndez Navarro, Alfredo
AU  - Fernández-Navarro, Pablo
AU  - Ramis, Rebeca
AU  - García-Pérez, Javier
AU  - Cervantes, Marta
AU  - Ferreras, Eva
AU  - Jiménez-Muñoz, María
AU  - Pastor-Barriuso, Roberto
PY  - 2013
SN  - 1471-2407
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10481/29403
AB  - Background
A total of 2,514,346 metric tons (Mt) of asbestos were imported into Spain from 1906 until the ban on asbestos in 2002. Our objective was to study pleural cancer mortality trends as an indicator of mesothelioma mortality and update...
AB  - Methods
Log-linear Poisson models were fitted to study the effect of age, period of death and birth cohort (APC) on mortality trends. Change points in cohort- and period-effect curvatures were assessed using segmented regression. Fractional...
AB  - Results
Pleural cancer deaths increased across the study period, rising from 491 in 1976–1980 to 1,249 in 2006–2010. Predictions for the five-year period 2016–2020 indicated a total of 1,319 pleural cancer deaths (264 deaths/year). Forecasts up to...
AB  - Conclusion
The cancer mortality-related consequences of human exposure to asbestos are set to persist and remain in evidence until the last surviving members of the exposed cohorts have disappeared. It can thus be assumed that occupationally-related...
LA  - eng
PB  - Biomed Central
KW  - Age-period-cohort
KW  - Asbestos
KW  - Epidemiology
KW  - Pleural cancer
KW  - Mesothelioma
KW  - Spain
TI  - Pleural cancer mortality in Spain: time-trends and updating of predictions up to 2020
ER  -