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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10481/49410

Title: Political and social trends in the future of global security. A meta-study on official perspectives in Europe and North America
Authors: Jordán Enamorado, Javier
Issue Date: 5-Dec-2017
Abstract: The present paper provides a meta-study of security and defence foresight documents by the Atlantic Alliance, European Union and various official bodies linked to the Defence Ministries of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom and United States. It focuses on the political and social trends impacting on defence and military issues. In global terms, the following can be discerned: rivalry among major powers, with armed conflict between some not ruled out entirely; armed non-state actors strengthened by new technologies; global competition for natural resources; extensive demographic imbalances and migration flows; global risks associated with fragile states. In terms of European internal policy, the following trends are identified: population ageing and the challenges associated with immigrant integration; empowerment of interest-based and identity networks. The paper begins by familiarising readers with the characteristics of foresight documents and the methodologies used in their preparation.
Publisher: Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Keywords: Strategic studies
Global risks
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10481/49410
ISSN: 2195-2248
Rights : Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 License
Citation: Jordán Enamorado, J. Political and social trends in the future of global security. A meta-study on official perspectives in Europe and North America. European Journal of Futures Research, 5: 11 (2017). [http://hdl.handle.net/10481/49410]
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