Universidad de Granada Digibug
 

Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Granada >
1.-Investigación >
Departamentos, Grupos de Investigación e Institutos >
Departamento de Teoría e Historia Económica >
DTHE - Informes >

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10481/31492

Title: The Free Trade Agreement Morocco-EU: a simulation of the impact on EU exports
Authors: Blanes, José Vicente
Milgram Baleix, Juliette
Issue Date: 2006
Abstract: We analyse the effect due of the next FTA between Morocco and the EU on bilateral Moroccan imports. As our main contribution to the existing literature, we include in our gravity equation tariff data at the industry level. This allows to better estimate trade determinants and also makes possible to perform simulations of the tariff dismantling taking into account its different path for each industry and year. A complete tariff dismantling will double the average yearly trade growth observed in the years just before the transition period to the FTA begun. The average effect follows the tariff reduction schedule being greater at the beginning and at the end of the transition period. The effect is positive for all EU Member States but exports growth to Morocco is greater for Portugal, Greece, Slovakia, Lithuania and Spain and lower for Germany, Denmark, Finland, France and Sweden. By industries, the faster growth are predicted for Leather and leather products, Wood and wood products, Textiles and textile products, Rubber and plastic products and Pulp, paper an paper products and publishing and printing. Finally, we also find a positive effect of Moroccan immigration in the EU on bilateral trade.
Sponsorship: This paper has benefited financial support from the Centro de Estudios Andaluces (Junta de Andalucia, Spain) within the context of th e Research Project ECO12-2004.
Publisher: Universidad de Granada. Departamento de Teoría e Historia Económica
Series/Report no.: The Papers;06/09
Keywords: Liberalisation
EU
Morocco
Free Trade Area
Tariff
Immigration
Gravity equation
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10481/31492
Rights : Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 License
Citation: Blanes, J.V.; Milgram Baleix, J. The Free Trade Agreement Morocco-EU: a simulation of the impact on EU exports. Universidad de Granada. Departamento de Teoría e Historia Económica (2006). (The Papers; 06/09). [http://hdl.handle.net/10481/31492]
Appears in Collections:DTHE - Informes

Files in This Item:

File Description SizeFormat
thepapers06_09.pdf620.45 kBAdobe PDFView/Open
Recommend this item

This item is licensed under a Creative Commons License
Creative Commons

Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.

 

Valid XHTML 1.0! OpenAire compliant DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2007 MIT and Hewlett-Packard - Feedback

© Universidad de Granada